Saturday, April 26, 2008
One Thing in Common
As the United States remains embroiled in a bitter Presidential primary season, we can begin to see similarities emerge between the rust belt of the U.S. and the rust belt of China. Hillary and Obama have been courting the voters of the North Eastern states of Michigan, Ohio and Pennsylvania. President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao have been hoping to gain political advantage by courting the North Eastern provinces of Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang. Both the North Eastern quadrant of the US and the North Eastern quadrant of China have become industrial centers because of their close proximity to coal. They both reached a pinnacle during the fifties and sixties but since then have seen a steady decline in manufacturing and production, particularly in the areas of steel production. Both areas are faced with unemployment. Both are politically pivotal areas. China’s previous president, Jiang Zamin, concentrated his efforts in revitalizing the southeast coastal region including Shanghai, Guangdong and the Pearl River Delta. He was able to also center much of his political power in this area. President Jintao hopes that by seeking solutions to the problems of the industrial northeast he too will be able to draw support from workers in these areas. At a time when stability is of outmost importance to the CCP, the high unemployment problems and lack of social safety nets in these provinces are of particular concern. An extensive 10 to 15 year plan has been laid out that will attract development to the area. The Hu/Wen team, perhaps taking a few tips from the Hillary/Obama ticket, has also laid out a plan for pension insurance to replace the safety net of former SOE’s. We often hear that China is taking all of our jobs. Workers in Ohio and workers in Jilin may find out that they have more in common than they think!
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Colleen-you draw such great parallels between the two labor groups and reminds us that there are indeed many similarities between the two countries. Hu hopes to maintain control, whereas Clinton/Obama hope to gain control.Of course, the big difference is that US laborers have vehicles that give them voice, such as labor unions and voters' rights. It will be interesting to watch as labor unrest grows in China how bad things will need to get before that dreaded and feared "civil unrest" will appear.A pension plan seems paltry recompense for the deaths that have occured from lax safety standards.If you kill off enough of your labor pool, then the social safety net doesn't have to be quite so big.
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